Does the Phase Oscillator timeframe matter for predicting Golden Gate completion? We tested 10-minute vs 60-minute PO snapshots (both from the last completed bar) at the moment the 38.2% level is hit. The higher timeframe wins decisively — and the 10m same-direction extreme actually runs below baseline.
Only the 60-minute Phase Oscillator carries the Bilbo signal. Corrected, a 60m same-direction extreme adds +8.5pp (bull) / +19.7pp (bear) over baseline. The 10m same-direction extreme is below baseline (−9.9pp bull, −3.3pp bear): by the time the 10m PO is pinned at an extreme in the trade direction, the short-term move is stretched and completion odds are worse, not better. (The 10m table's extreme-plus-opposite-slope cells run above baseline — a curl-back pattern — but that is a single-sort observation, not a validated filter.)
This is consistent with how the indicators are designed. The Phase Oscillator measures how far price has deviated from its 21-period mean, normalized by ATR. On a 10-minute chart, “high” can mean a momentary spike. On a 60-minute chart, “high” means sustained buying pressure over multiple hours — exactly the condition that drives Golden Gate completions.